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Local 3-Month Temperature Outlook (L3MTO)


Identification Information:
(datsetid):gov.noaa.cpc:l3mto
Citation:
Citation Information:
Originator: DOC/NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC
Publication Date: 20060721
Title: Local 3-Month Temperature Outlook (L3MTO)
Geospatial Data Presentation Form: diagram, map, free text
Online Linkage: http://www.weather.gov/climate/l3mto.php
(CI_OnlineResource):
Online location (URL): http://www.weather.gov/climate/l3mto.php
Connection protocol: HTTP
(applicationProfile):web browser
(name):National Weather Service Local Three Month Temperature Outlooks for the United States
(description): Index page for the National Weather Service Local Three Month Temperature Outlooks for the United States
(function): information
Description:
Abstract: The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) produces probabilistic Local Climate Outlooks for 3 month average daily temperature for specific locations in the United States. These outlooks use NOAA National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) data at stations and climate divisions. The Climate Services Division (CSD) assists in dissemination and display of the outlooks and Weather Forecast Offices (WFO) perform secondary quality control.
Purpose: The L3MTO provides information to decision makers who control activities sensitive to three month and intra annual climate variation. L3MTO enhances the level of detail and usability of CPC's 3-month climate outlooks. Therefore these outlooks will not help people planning events for specific dates or sub- periods, nor those seeking forecasts of monthly temperatures extremes. The L3MTOs will be of most use for economic and risk planning, particularly when used together with climatic reference material (see NWS Instruction 10-1004).
Time Period of Content:
Time Period Information:
Range of Dates/Times:
Beginning Date: 20060721
Ending Date: Present
Currentness Reference: ground condition
Status:
Progress: Complete
Maintenance and Update Frequency: Monthly
Spatial Domain:
Bounding Coordinates:
West Bounding Coordinate: -180.0
East Bounding Coordinate: -15.0
North Bounding Coordinate: 90.0
South Bounding Coordinate: 15.0
Keywords:
Theme:
Theme Keyword Thesaurus: ISO 19115 MD Topic Category Code
Theme Keyword: climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere
Theme Keyword: 004
Theme:
Theme Keyword Thesaurus: NASA GCMD Science Keywords
Theme Keyword: Atmosphere > Atmospheric Temperature > Air Temperature
Theme Keyword: Atmosphere > Atmospheric Temperature > Temperature Anomalies
Place:
Place Keyword Thesaurus: NASA GCMD Location Keywords
Place Keyword: Continent, North America, United States of America
Stratum:
Stratum Keyword Thesaurus: NASA GCMD Location Keywords
Stratum Keyword: Vertical Location, Boundary layer
(plainsid):
Access Constraints: None
Use Constraints: Acknowledgement of the Data Originator when using the data item as a source
Point of Contact:
Contact Information:
Contact Organization Primary:
Contact Organization: Climate Prediction Center
Contact Person: Jon Gottschalck
Contact Position: Meteorologist.
Contact Address:
Address Type: Mailing and physical
Address: 5200 Auth Road
City: Camp Springs
State or Province: Maryland
Postal Code: 20746
Country: United States of America
Contact Voice Telephone: (301) 763-8000
Contact Electronic Mail Address: Jon.Gottschalck@noaa.gov
Browse Graphic:
Browse Graphic File Name: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/l3mto.ncsp.gif
Browse Graphic File Description: The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) produces probabilistic Local Climate Outlooks for 3 month average daily temperature for specific locations in the United States. The Climate Services Division (CSD) assists in dissemination and display of the outlooks and Weather Forecast Offices (WFO) perform secondary quality control.
Browse Graphic File Type: GIF
Data Quality Information:
Attribute Value Accuracy Information:
Attribute Accuracy Report: Not provided
Logical Consistency Report: Unknown
Completeness Report: Not available
Lineage:
Process Step:
Process Description: Unknown
Process Date: Unknown
Entity and Attribute Information:
Overview Description:
Entity and Attribute Overview: The L3MTO is a probabilistic outlook for a specific location of the 3 month average daily temperature. L3MTO is available on the Internet (http://www.weather.gov/climate/l3mto.php) based on:a. The 3-Month Outlook from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC). For the contiguous U.S. (CONUS), this would be the CPC climate outlook for the CPC divisional area in which the site resides. See NWS Instruction 10-1001 (Climate Outlooks) for details.b. CONUS sites only: A correlation between 3-month 1971-2000 climatological data for a local site and its respective CPC climate outlook division climatology, using a regression equation.c. Alaska and Hawaii sites: Computations of L3MTO Alaska and Hawaii sites follow NWS Instruction 10-1001 (Climate Outlooks) for 3-month temperature outlooks. Format of L3MTO Alaska and Hawaii sites display follows this instruction.The L3MTO provides local information corresponding to the following content: a. Three Category Outlook: Probability (in percent) that the average 3-month temperature will fall into each of three categories: above, below, or near normal. The reference to normal climatology comes from the 30-year (1971- 2000) mean 3-month temperature and category limits. (See NWS Instruction 10-1004 for details).Categories are defined as climatologically equally likely; e.g., the top 10 cases of a thirty year record define the above category, the middle 10 cases define the normal category, and the bottom 10 cases define the below category.b. Range Outlook. The expected range of the average 3-month temperature are expressed for for five confidence intervals or levels of expected chance: 99%, 95%, 90%, 75%, and 50%.c. Probability of Exceedence/non Exceedence (POE/PoNE) Outlooks. The POE/PoNE outlooks are expressed as the expected chance of the average three month temperature exceeding or not exceeding a particular probability value. POE and PoNE are produced for 19 values: 99%, 98%, 97%, 96%, 95%, 90%, 80%, 70%, 60%, 50%, 40%, 30%, 20%, 10%, 5%, 4%, 3%, 2%, and 1%.
Entity and Attribute Detail Citation: NOAA's Climate Prediction Center
Distribution Information:
Distributor:
Contact Information:
Contact Organization Primary:
Contact Organization: NOAA's Climate Prediction Center
Contact Position: Meteorologist
Contact Address:
Address Type: mailing and physical
Address: 5200 Auth Road
City: Camp Springs
State or Province: Maryland
Postal Code: 20746
Country: United States of America
Contact Voice Telephone: (301) 763-8000
Contact Electronic Mail Address: jon.gottschalck@noaa.gov
Resource Description: 001
Distribution Liability: See the NOAA National Weather Service disclaimer at http://www.weather.gov/disclaimer.php
Standard Order Process:
Digital Form:
Digital Transfer Information:
Format Name: GIF
Digital Transfer Option:
Online Option:
Computer Contact Information:
Network Address:
Network Resource Name: http://www.weather.gov/climate/l3mto.php
(CI_OnlineResource):
Online location (URL): http://www.weather.gov/climate/l3mto.php
Connection protocol: HTTP
(applicationProfile):web browser
(name):National Weather Service Local Three Month Temperature Outlooks
(description):Index Page for The National Weather Service Local Three Month Temperature Outlooks
(function):download
Fees: None
Metadata Reference Information:
Metadata Date: 20090916
Metadata Contact:
Contact Information:
Contact Organization Primary:
Contact Organization: NOAA's Climate Prediction Center
Contact Position: Meteorologist
Contact Address:
Address Type: mailing and physical
Address: 5200 Auth Road
City: Camp Springs
State or Province: Maryland
Postal Code: 20746
Country: United States of America
Contact Voice Telephone: (301) 763-8000
Contact Electronic Mail Address: scott.handel@noaa.gov
Metadata Standard Name: FGDC Content Standard for Digital Geospatial Metadata
Metadata Standard Version: FGDC-STD-001-1998
Metadata Extensions:
Online Linkage: http://www.fgdc.gov/standards/projects/FGDC-standards-projects/csdgm_rs_ex/MetadataRemoteSensingExtens.pdf
Online Linkage: http://www.fgdc.gov/standards/projects/FGDC-standards-projects/csdgm_rs_ex/remote-sensing-metadata
Profile Name: Content Standard for Digital Geospatial Metadata: Extensions for Remote Sensing Metadata, FGDC-STD-012-2002
Metadata Extensions:
Online Linkage: http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/metadata/extensions/local_extensions.html
Profile Name: NGDC Extensions to FGDC Metadata
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